WASHINGTON, July 15
/PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Riki Ellison, President and Founder of the Missile
Defense Advocacy Alliance (MDAA), www.missiledefenseadvocacy.org,
distributed a White Paper on the need for the continued deployment of our
nation's ground-based interceptors (GBIs). He explains the threats from
Iran and North Korea, he elaborates on the Shot Doctrine of
"look-shoot-look" and he calls for action by the Congress to move
forward on reducing the risk to our national security from long-range
ballistic missiles being developed by Iran and North Korea.
Extracts of the MDAA White
Paper are as follows:
Secretary Robert Gates and
President Obama's Administration have requested a drawdown of 32 percent in
the 2010 fiscal year budget for the long-range ballistic missile defense system
- a specific reduction from 44 ground-based interceptors to 30 ground-based
interceptors - to protect the United States of America from long-range
MDAA believes that this
position of the Secretary of Defense places the security of the United
States from current and future long range ballistic missile threats to the
nation and population at a higher risk then it should be after the
estimated $13 billion of US tax dollar investment in this system.
The threat from North Korea
and Iran remains consistent. The ballistic missile launches from these two
countries this year has given them greater understanding and confidence.
The countries are proceeding at a steady pace to improve their systems in
range, payloads, staging and accuracy. They are making progress and are
consistent across the board with previous Department of Defense threat
assessments that directed an acceptable risk of interceptors needed for the
protection of the United States. Nothing has changed this assessment and
calculus to reduce the long range ballistic threat capability to the United
Reducing the Shot Doctrine
'look-shoot-look': the amount of interceptors that are needed to fire at
one incoming missile to assure success, reliability and confidence of the
missile defense system. This number has been as high as four or more GBIs
to one incoming missile to insure 90 percent plus confidence in a not fully
mature system (GBI) that has been initially deployed while still being
tested for its capabilities during its deployment. Nothing in the past year
with the confidence in the reliability of the GBI system and its testing
has shown the need to reduce the shot doctrine from a high number to a low
number. A reduced shot doctrine of two shots or less to one long-range ballistic
missile has been suggested as a reason to reduce the 44 interceptors to 30
interceptors, thus significantly increasing the risk that assured
destruction of a long-range ballistic missile by the GBIs and potential
anomalies of that system would be successful.
What amount of risk is the
Department of Defense taking against a known enemy by relying on a
deterrent value of the long-range ballistic missile system rather than in
the systems war fighting capability? In every war game using missile defenses
that the current US military war fighters have participated in, every
participating US military war fighter has requested more defensive
missiles. Iran achieved a successful space launch earlier this year placing
a satellite into orbit. North Korea this year has come close to attaining a
space launch but failed in its attempt in the third stage. Once these
countries gain maturity in the technology and the correct design on
long-range ballistic missiles, mass production of these production designs
becomes imminent. The U.S. Department of Defense and the intelligence
community do not know what those numbers could be and cannot control
production of these missiles.
Accidental launch capability
against unauthorized long-range ballistic missile launches needs to be
factored in the overall calculus for amount of GBIs needed as there are
more countries that will have more ballistic missiles and these countries
may not have the necessary controls to prevent unauthorized launches.
United States tax dollars
have paid approximately $13 billion for the Ground-based Midcourse Defense
(GMD) system. The cost of deploying the remaining 14 missiles in silos on
missile field at Fort Greely, Alaska is approximately $116 million. It is
just 1 percent of the total expenditure to complete the system as designed.
Ellison wants the U.S.
Congress to address the full completion of our GMD system to ensure that we
reduce the risks to our national security and population. "This is a
matter of determining what risk is acceptable and tolerable to our nation
by not fully completing the deployment of the ground-based
interceptors," he said. Ellison feels this is a mandate for the United
States Congress as the American public continues to show overwhelming
support for missile defense and protection of their homeland.
Riki Ellison has a national
reputation as an expert on our nation's missile defense system that he has
supported and advocated for more than 25 years. He is available for
interviews. Call Mike Terrill at 602 885-1955 to arrange.